Joe, I have no proper idea of the market for US stamps, but I assume you're thinking of it when you say
Quote:
the vast majority of all stamps, INCLUDING valuable ones, by which I mean the few hundred to few thousand dollar range will NOT go up, and haven't in the past few decades.
But half the world's population lives in Asia, and wealth in the big Asian countries, China, India, Indonesia, Thiland, Vietnam etc, is growing rapidly. The Chinese, Indians, Indonesians, Thais and Vietnamese etc are collecting their own stamps (surprise! surprise!) and these stamps
are going up in price.
Among the Indian States that I collect, I can't think of
any stamp in the hundreds to thousands of dollar or pound price range that
hasn't gone up solidly over the last decade. I'd make a large wager that the same applies pretty well across the board to the stamps of just about all the Asian countries.
In the Western countries, there's a different phenomenon. Fewer young people are being recruited to stamp collecting, it's true. But the young rarely have the money to spend on the expensive rarities. It's the empty-nesters in their 50s and 60s who have the time and money to indulge their passions, including stamps, who are underpinning the market for rare stamps.
I find it fascinating to see the same scenario being played out again and again: the 30 or 40 year-old rediscovering their childhood passion for stamps, and taking up the discarded collection again. Many of them may never graduate up to spending serious money on their collections, but it doesn't take many to put the squeeze on available supplies of stamps. And after all, collecting
per se seems to be deeply embedded in the human psyche.
My core collection is of Barwani State, in India. There were precisely 400 of these Barwani stamps

printed, and precious few of those survived to find their way into collections. In 2002, these stamps used had a cat. value of £375 each; this year, it's £850. How many new collectors will it take to start to put serious pressure on those prices? And the new collectors
are there. I know: I talk to them.