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Stamp Price Trends ...

 
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Pillar Of The Community

France, Metropolitan
3744 Posts
Posted 08/12/2017   10:30 am  Show Profile Bookmark this topic Add perf12 to your friends list Get a Link to this Message
Found this web site that gives the price trends for certain stamps over the past months..fun to check out.(like stocks,?)
https://www.terapeak.com/worth/categories/stamps/
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Edited by perf12 - 08/12/2017 10:31 am

Pillar Of The Community
United States
2830 Posts
Posted 08/12/2017   11:10 am  Show Profile Bookmark this reply Add shermae to your friends list  Get a Link to this Reply
Kelleher Auctions issues a periodical called "Collector's Connection" and there was an article in the Nov-Dec issue discussing their impressions about the philatelic market. Here is an excerpt:

[size=2]"Reporting after our
final 2016 public
auction, the marketplace
remains unchanged.
When high-quality and
rarity are involved, the
market is strong and
vibrant. But commonplace
items and those of lesser
quality are fetching lower
prices.
The Asian market for
China of all periods is still
very strong, and these
are the top sellers. British
Commonwealth and the
rest of Asia are tied for
second-place.
Next are quality United
States singles and plate
blocks. Beyond this,
French and European
Colonial Issues are most
popular—with the "parent"
countries lagging behind,
sometimes severely.
The area of Postal History
follows the demographics
of the hobby in
general—stellar items
bringing ever higher
prices, with run-of-the-mill
material declining, or not
selling at all.
The axiom remains:
"What they want, they
all want—and what they
don't want is unsaleable."

The demand for mint "postage" remains soft (one can buy mint US at 50-60% of face-value, or less). The great "blue-chip" countries we grew up with---Great Britain, Germany, Austria, France, Switzerland, United Nations, Vatican City, and yes Ghana!---all remain unrelentingly flat! Prices are at levels not seen in many decades, and the trends all point in
one direction---downwards!

One must remember, as prices adjust (as do currencies and
markets), that demand is what creates the value of stamps (and
most other commodities). With very elastic demand, prices
may shift upwards or downwards very quickly. The best word
to describe the market in many areas is "fragile"---with a strong
lack of either demand or competition. But, one thing is for
sure---as a hobby, there are great opportunities for enjoyment
and acquisition at a fraction of what was once commonplace.
Some philatelists are very excited. Pick a country---almost any
country---and there are many areas in which you can acquire
more for less.

Taking all this into account---"top-notch" high-quality classics and twentieth-century rule the roost. Interesting postal history,
such as Civil War Patriotic covers, are on the rise. We look for
this trend to continue. Rarities still fetch strong and often record
prices, and---with the maturation of the collector marketplace-
--this will continue. We predict that 2017 will bring similar results to 2016, with perhaps even poorer prices for the issues and
countries not in demand. Mint "postage" may take the ultimate
hit if it is devalued---as many countries have already done.

China may well finally be ready for a price adjustment for PRC
issues---but we expect classic China and Liberated areas to
keep rising as the huge Chinese collecting culture continues to
mature and expand. If you are thinking of selling, don't delay!
But if you are enjoying it, continue! It's a great time to be a
stamp-collector!"
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Moderator
1589 Posts
Posted 08/13/2017   3:05 pm  Show Profile Bookmark this reply Add blcjr to your friends list  Get a Link to this Reply
This is just some kind of gimmick for ebay sellers. These "price trends" have absolutely no validity whatsoever. I don't know what kind of algo they use to generate them, but they are not based on actual price trends of the specific items shown. I can say this because one item I looked at was a postal cover. When I clicked on it it took me to an ebay listing. When I used the ebay function to check closed sales for this item there were none. So where did the nice little chart of dots of sales for the last 30 days come from? Not from actual sales of items like this one. Total garbage.

Basil
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Valued Member
355 Posts
Posted 08/13/2017   11:20 pm  Show Profile Bookmark this reply Add TangStamps to your friends list  Get a Link to this Reply
Interesting, just wonder if they have enough data to make the conclusion.
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Pillar Of The Community
United States
3224 Posts
Posted 08/14/2017   12:49 am  Show Profile Bookmark this reply Add hy-brasil to your friends list  Get a Link to this Reply
So what would be "enough data"? It's all up to interpretation.

Even pricelists with or without guaranteed prices can be unreliable. "Please ask for quote" instead of a price shows a legitimate seller listing scarce or upwardly volatile items. There are others who put a low price on things like that that are not in stock at all. It purposely misleads competitors and people selling to that dealer.
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Edited by hy-brasil - 08/14/2017 12:50 am
Moderator
1589 Posts
Posted 08/14/2017   04:16 am  Show Profile Bookmark this reply Add blcjr to your friends list  Get a Link to this Reply

Quote:
Interesting, just wonder if they have enough data to make the conclusion.
Well, in the case of the cover I examined, the answer is "no." There was NO data on which to justify the conclusion. It is being "made up" somehow. And without an explanation of how, I wouldn't trust it at all.
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Valued Member
United States
211 Posts
Posted 08/18/2017   10:21 am  Show Profile Bookmark this reply Add ggreve to your friends list  Get a Link to this Reply
The chart is interesting, but I would have to agree that the data is off. If they were able to get better data, I would love to see the charts.
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Pillar Of The Community
United States
6430 Posts
Posted 08/18/2017   10:40 am  Show Profile Check revenuecollector's eBay Listings Bookmark this reply Add revenuecollector to your friends list  Get a Link to this Reply
It's an affiliate link farm website. Its sole purpose is to get people to click through to ebay so the site owner gets a commission on anything purchased by the person who clicks through.

Affiliate revenue is a valid form of revenue generation when used by sites (like SCF) that serve legitimate functions. For a period of time I had ebay links on my website and may bring that back at some point.

However, there are a host of sites out there that look like informational resources that only exist to drive people to ebay, and the information presented is frequently questionable. They make up data that LOOKS like real information; it helps the masquerade.

Another area where this is prominent are bogus consumer review websites that are nothing but link farms for Amazon commissions.
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